The UK is expected to meet its predicted 2035 zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) production targets, according to the Advanced Propulsion Centre UK (APC) quarterly demand report.
This aligns with the anticipated ban on fossil-fuel internal combustion engine (ICE) sales by 2035, which will drive battery electric vehicle (BEV) demand.
While 2035 forecasts remain unchanged, demand growth is expected to slow in the short term, with global projections for 2027 and 2030 down 14% and 12%, respectively.
In the near term, electric hybrids are expected to see growth, especially in Europe, before BEVs gain wider consumer acceptance. This shift underscores the need for continued investment in advanced battery-cell chemistries.
Julian Hetherington, Automotive Transformation Director at the APC, said:
“While it has been a turbulent 12 months in terms of geopolitical and economic events affecting the global automotive market… it is reassuring to see our predicted figures for 2035 largely on track… acknowledging some near-term reductions reflecting market conditions.”
Hetherington highlighted the growing importance of lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries, citing their cost-effectiveness and safety advantages.
He continued: “Our forecasts indicate up to a 30% chemistry share for LFP across Europe, with up to a 25% share here in the UK by 2035. Globally… this could reach a 45% share.”
The report emphasises the UK’s competitiveness in LFP and lithium-manganese-iron-phosphate (LFMP) batteries, calling for investment in the battery value chain to support these chemistries and meet future demand.
This series covers the developing electric vehicles market of the UK and its increasing infrastructure, as the nation advances its net-zero goals. For all things EV, don’t miss out on your free ticket to EVCharge Live UK – taking place 23-25 September 2025.
